There is rampant speculation about how the global economies could recover after the Covid 19 crisis is over. First of all, it is very unclear when countries are even able to start the recovery process and how much damage has been done from the health and thus induced economic crisis. Here are my three scenarios which I drafted on March 22, 2020. I recently added another scenario on April 15th 2020. Let me also say that it is much more important in my mind to make sure that the health crisis is foremost tackled to save as much lives! #Blib Dihei Keep in mind these are speculations: 1) U-Shape recovery with overshooting due to consumers getting back into spending quickly. Spending is done more aggressively than anticipated and the GDP growth rate may top pre-crisis level in the very short term. The growth rate will then revert back to the steady state fairly quickly. This scenario is a wishful thinking but could potentially happen. Recovery would come in the 3rd quarter after ...